You always seem to get a ‘teacher’s pet’ in every class when you’re at school. You know, the one always seeking to impress.
I used to spend most of my time in the corridor dodging the headmaster if he appeared while I was on temporarily – erm – hiatus from the classroom for talking too much.
These individuals with a need to impress or prove their self-worth don’t stop doing so at school, of course. You also get them in the workplace – although the word for them there isn’t always as kind… I’ll give you a clue – it is a two-part description that starts with ‘a’, ends in ‘s’ and rhymes with ‘knickers’.
Anyway, you will often see the same psychology from overpaid footballers when they play for a new manager for the first tine.
How many times have you seen a new gaffer take over a football club, only to find – despite the team having a run of poor results immediately previous – the players instantly raise their game to either win (or at worst, draw)?
From my repeated observations, teams that play for the first time under new management tend to put in a resolute display that belies their current league position.
Last Saturday, Aston Villa – under newly-appointed manager Steve Bruce – played Wolves. Although Villa were favourites, I would have fancied a Wolves win under the old regime. However, with Bruce in place, I felt Villa would either win or draw the game due to their players looking to impress their new boss.
The match ended 1-1 – and indeed Villa were lucky in the end to get a point. However, I’m confident we could have an edge here in maybe Backing the team under the new manager and a ‘saver bet’ on the draw. The way the managerial merry-go-round is these days I’m surprised clubs don’t have a revolving door at their main entrance!
New managers are appointed all of the time in leagues across the world and I feel the same psychology applies to abroad as it clearly does to our domestic leagues. One aspect of which involves players impressing their new boss in order to maintain their first team place or even stay at the club and be part of the new manager’s future plans.
I’ll look into this further and get something together for my new Quick Fire Betting package to see if ‘dutching’ both the win and the draw on such matches would prove profitable in the long term.
New trials!
I have lined up two new trials for Betting Doctor readers. Should they prove successful, they will give balance to any portfolio as they differ in approach.
Review 1: Low Hanging Profits
The first one is called Low Hanging Profits from the Betting Gods stable.
Very interested to see how this one pans out – it claims a very high average strike rate of 71.21%, and with short losing runs.
As you can guess by these figures, the prices of selections are at the lower end and the majority of them are ‘odds on’.
Don’t let this put you off, as I’ve seen services make good profits at this end of the price range. It all depends on the quality of selections chosen as value can be found at any price.
So far they have achieved £896.90 since 1st May 2016 at £10 per point. The service averages one strong bet per day and has shown a steady climb on the profit graph.
So head over now to see if Low Hanging Profits can bear some fruit with the first week’s results…
Review 2: Fantastic Eights
The second is a service called Fantastic Eights from the Betfan organisation.
Another interesting angle for this service – they aim for races of 8 or less runners. So I’m intrigued to see how this one performs using this field size stipulation.
It certainly makes form reading easier from process of an elimination point of view – and with Flat racing, it would certainly cut out the risk of the chosen selection meeting trouble in running.
The service averages one bet per day and is allocated a points value from 1 to 5 points. They also advise a 300 point bank. Therefore, if you decided to bet with a £300 bank your highest stake would be a £5 and lowest would be £1.
The last 3 months reported have been using a £300 bank:
September +£243.35p
August +£292.37p
July +£338.37p
Does Fantastic Eights hit all the right numbers? Have a look on the review blog right here…